Predictions
One published selection a day, the Bet of the Day, and a model call on every other fixture we cover. Each carries the model's probability, is frozen at 09:00 London and is settled in public, win or lose.
Bet of the Day
Today's published selection
- Thu 12 Nov · 19:00 WAT
Navalcarnero v
Real BetisOver 1.5 goals: Over 1.5 Goals · 77%Bet of the DayCopa Del Rey
18+. Gambling helplines for Nigeria, Kenya, South Africa, Ghana and Uganda are on each country’s betting guide. Probabilities are the model\u2019s own numbers, never a promise.
Today
Model calls on today's matches
Coming up
The next three days
- Fri 13 Nov · 18:00 WAT
Shooting Stars v
Bendel InsuranceDouble chance: Shooting Stars or Draw · 76%NPFL - Fri 13 Nov · 21:00 WAT
Salamanca CF UDS v
Celta de VigoDouble chance: Salamanca CF UDS or Draw · 73%Copa Del Rey - Sun 15 Nov · 13:00 WAT
Murang'a SEAL v
Mathare UnitedOver 1.5 goals: Over 1.5 Goals · 78%Premier League - Sun 15 Nov · 14:00 WAT
Konkola Blades v
Nchanga RangersDouble chance: Konkola Blades or Draw · 76%Super League - Sun 15 Nov · 16:00 WAT
Ashanti Gold v
Karela UnitedDouble chance: Ashanti Gold or Draw · 78%Premier League - Sun 15 Nov · 16:00 WAT
Gamba All Blacks v
Berekum ChelseaDouble chance: Gamba All Blacks or Draw · 73%Premier League - Sun 15 Nov · 16:00 WAT
Aduana Stars v
Bechem UnitedDouble chance: Aduana Stars or Draw · 73%Premier League - Sun 15 Nov · 16:00 WAT
Niger Tornadoes v
Rangers InternationalDouble chance: Niger Tornadoes or Draw · 72%NPFL - Sun 15 Nov · 16:00 WAT
Basake Holy Stars v
Vision FCDouble chance: Basake Holy Stars or Draw · 70%Premier League - Sun 15 Nov · 16:00 WAT
Debibi United v
Port City FCDouble chance: Debibi United or Draw · 67%Premier League - Sun 15 Nov · 16:00 WAT
Young Apostles v
MedeamaDouble chance: Young Apostles or Draw · 65%Premier League - Sun 15 Nov · 17:00 WAT
Asante Kotoko v
Bibiani Gold StarsDouble chance: Asante Kotoko or Draw · 69%Premier League
In depth
How today's predictions are chosen
Key takeaways
- Today's prediction gives three calls for every match: the result (1X2), both teams to score, and over or under 2.5 goals.
- Every call carries a probability and a reference price, and kick-off is shown in WAT, EAT, SAST and GMT together.
- The strongest picks of the day are the calls where form, head-to-head, team news and the home and away record agree, and none of them is certain.
- A call is revised only when confirmed lineups or late injury news change the probability, and never after kick-off.
- Every settled call, win or miss, is counted in a published record.
Today's prediction is the list above: every match kicking off today, in kick-off order, with a call on the result, on both teams to score and on over or under 2.5 goals. Each call carries a probability and a reference price, and the list is stamped with its date and the time of its last update. Kick-off is given in WAT, EAT, SAST and GMT together, so the same row reads correctly whether you follow football in Lagos, Nairobi, Accra or Kampala, or soccer in Johannesburg.
Think of it as the weather forecast you check before leaving the house: rain is a probability, and you still decide whether to carry the umbrella. What follows explains how to read each call, how the strongest picks are chosen, and what can change before kick-off. In our view, a prediction today is only worth your time if you can see how it was reached, and that includes the days when the calls lose.
How Do You Read Today's Football Predictions?
Each row is one match, and it holds three separate calls. The result uses 1X2 notation, where 1 is a home win, X the draw and 2 an away win. Both teams to score (also written GG or BTTS) is a yes or no call, and over 2.5 goals needs three goals or more. Beside each call sits our probability and a reference price, the decimal price at which that probability would be fair. An even chance is fair at 2.00. A price longer than the reference means the market is paying more than we think the risk deserves.
Which Are The Strongest Picks Of The Day?
One or two calls are marked at the top of the list as the strongest of the day, each with a short reason. The method for marking a call looks for agreement in the evidence: form, head-to-head, team news and the home and away record pointing the same way, over a sample large enough to trust. It is never simply the shortest price on the list, because a very short price pays almost nothing for the risk that remains.
Which Leagues Are Covered Today?
The list covers whatever is being played today in the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, the Bundesliga, the Champions League and the CAF competitions. Where they have fixtures, the South African Premiership (PSL), Nigeria's NPFL, the Kenyan Premier League, the Ghana Premier League and the Uganda Premier League (UPL) sit in the same list. The Premier League, formed in 1992, has a long African connection, from Jay-Jay Okocha of Nigeria at Bolton Wanderers and Michael Essien of Ghana at Chelsea to Benni McCarthy of South Africa at Blackburn Rovers and Victor Wanyama of Kenya at Southampton and Tottenham Hotspur. Many readers also back a local club alongside a European one, which means the Soweto derby or the Mashemeji derby between Gor Mahia and AFC Leopards is reasoned as carefully as any European night.
The list shows local and European matches side by side, so a reader in any of the five countries can find a home league fixture, a CAF club match and the Premier League in one place. Each competition also has its own page under football predictions.
What Is The Reasoning Behind Each Pick?
Every call opens to show its reasoning under four headings: recent form, the head-to-head, team news, and the home and away record taken from the table (the log, to South African readers). Form alone would be quicker to read, but form over a handful of matches is a small sample, and the longer record is there to steady it. When a side is built around a forward such as Victor Osimhen, the CAF African Player of the Year in 2023, his name on the team sheet moves the probability. The same applies when clubs release players for an Africa Cup of Nations, including the 2027 edition, awarded in September 2023 to a joint bid from Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda.
What Time Is Kick-Off, And Where Can You Watch?
Kick-off is printed four ways on every row, as WAT, EAT, SAST and GMT, so nobody has to do the arithmetic at a viewing centre with the teams already in the tunnel. West Africa Time is one hour ahead of GMT, South African Standard Time two and East Africa Time three, which is why a European evening match runs late in Nairobi and Kampala. The broadcaster beside a match comes from the listings for your country, where one is listed, and it is there as information only. Most readers arrive on a phone with data to watch, so the picks come first and the detail opens only when you ask.
| Country | Time zone | Against GMT | Local league | Names you will see |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghana | GMT | Same time | Ghana Premier League (GPL) | Black Stars, Asante Kotoko, Hearts of Oak |
| Nigeria | WAT | One hour ahead | NPFL | Super Eagles |
| South Africa | SAST | Two hours ahead | South African Premiership (PSL) | Kaizer Chiefs, Orlando Pirates, Mamelodi Sundowns |
| Kenya | EAT | Three hours ahead | Kenyan Premier League (KPL) | Harambee Stars, Gor Mahia, AFC Leopards |
| Uganda | EAT | Three hours ahead | Uganda Premier League (UPL) | Cranes, KCCA, Vipers |
When Was The List Last Updated, And What Changes Before Kick-Off?
The time of the last update is printed at the top of the list. Early calls are made on the morning's information, and the two things most likely to move them are the confirmed lineups, which usually arrive around an hour before kick-off, and late injury news. The rule for revising is short: a call changes only when confirmed team news changes the probability, the revised call is marked with the time it moved, and nothing is edited once the match has started. Anyone who reads the predictions for today's football over breakfast should take a second look before the first whistle.
How Did Yesterday's Picks Turn Out, And What About Tomorrow?
The date selector at the top of the list moves between days in one tap, and earlier calls stay as published, with the final scores added beside them. Every settled call then goes into the record, where wins and misses are counted together, market by market. The misses are published alongside the wins because a run of correct calls over a few days tells you very little, and only a long count shows whether the probabilities were honest. The fair test is whether calls rated at an even chance land about half the time over several hundred matches, and the record lets you check.
How Certain Is A Football Prediction?
No prediction is certain, and every call here is an opinion with a probability attached, never a promise about money. A call rated as likely will still lose on a regular basis, which is exactly what a probability short of certainty means. A market is easier to judge once you understand it, and the betting guides explain each one in plain terms. Betting is for adults only (18+), and the safer play information and the helpline for your country are shown with the betting module. If you do bet, then decide the stake before you read the picks, and keep it to money you can afford to lose.
FAQ
What Is Today's Prediction?
Today's prediction is a set of calls on every football match kicking off today: the result, both teams to score, and over or under 2.5 goals. Each call has a probability and a reference price, and the matches are listed in kick-off order in WAT, EAT, SAST and GMT.
Which Football Predictions Of Today Are The Strongest?
The one or two calls marked at the top of the list are the strongest of the day. They are chosen because the form, head-to-head, team news and home and away record agree, and a short reason is given for each. Strongest means most probable in our view, and it does not mean certain.
Do The Predictions Change Before Kick-Off?
Yes, a call can be revised when confirmed lineups or late injury news change the probability. A revised call is marked with the time it moved, the updated time at the top of the list changes with it, and nothing is edited after kick-off.
Are African Leagues Included In Predictions Today?
Yes, whenever they have fixtures. The South African Premiership (PSL), the NPFL, the Kenyan Premier League, the Ghana Premier League, the Uganda Premier League (UPL) and the CAF competitions appear in the same list as the European leagues, with the same three calls for each match.
How Accurate Are The Predictions?
Accuracy is shown in the record, where every settled call is counted, wins and misses together. Judge it over several hundred matches and not over a few days, because a short run says very little about whether the probabilities were right.
Written by Wanjiru Kamau, 2026-11-10.
