Copa del Rey · 1st Round · Pistas del Helmántico
Kick-off in your time, where to watch, the shape of both sides and a selection we record in public.
- 21:00 WAT · Nigeria
- 23:00 EAT · Kenya
- 22:00 SAST · South Africa
- 20:00 GMT · Ghana
- 23:00 EAT · Uganda
1 · Football assessment
The game in brief
Key takeaways
- Kick-off 21:00 WAT, 23:00 EAT, 22:00 SAST.
- The model's call is Salamanca CF UDS or Draw at 73%, a model call below the confidence floor, shown for the record.
- Automated summary: the full preview, when written, sits in the evidence section.
Automated desk summary from the feed and the model, written before kick-off and never edited after it. Salamanca CF UDS play Celta de Vigo in the Copa del Rey (1st Round) on 2026-11-13 at Pistas del Helmántico, kick-off 21:00 WAT in Lagos, 23:00 EAT in Nairobi, 22:00 SAST in Johannesburg, 20:00 GMT in Accra, 23:00 EAT in Kampala.
The model's call is Salamanca CF UDS or Draw at 73%, a model call below the confidence floor, shown for the record. The model reads expected goals 1.25 for Salamanca CF UDS and 0.91 for Celta de Vigo, 2.16 in all; home win 44%, draw 29%, away win 27%. Probabilities are the model's own numbers from both sides' results over the last year, the venue split and the head-to-head; there is no reference price yet.
Form
Salamanca CF UDS have no completed match on the feed yet this season.
Celta de Vigo form, most recent first: D 0-0 v levante; L 0-3 at rayo-vallecano; D 0-0 v Real Betis; W 2-1 v deportivo-alaves; D 0-0 at elche; W 5-0 v racing-santander.
Table and Head-to-Head
Neither side is in a league table the feed carries for this competition.
The feed holds no earlier meeting between the two.
The Markets
Most likely on the market list: Salamanca CF UDS or Draw 73%; Over 1.5 Goals 64%; Under 2.5 Goals 63%; Under 2.5 Goals 63%; Salamanca CF UDS (draw no bet) 62%.
Every probability is a model read, never a promise. Bet only what you can afford to lose; 18+ only.
FAQ
What time is Salamanca CF UDS v Celta de Vigo?
Kick-off is 21:00 WAT in Lagos, 23:00 EAT in Nairobi, 22:00 SAST in Johannesburg, 20:00 GMT in Accra, 23:00 EAT in Kampala on 2026-11-13.
What is the model call for Salamanca CF UDS v Celta de Vigo?
Salamanca CF UDS or Draw at 73%. The model reads expected goals 1.25 for Salamanca CF UDS and 0.91 for Celta de Vigo, 2.16 in all; home win 44%, draw 29%, away win 27%.
Where can I watch it?
The broadcaster for each country appears in the kick-off block above as soon as the feed carries it.
What is the head-to-head record?
The feed holds no earlier meeting between the two.
Written by The data desk, 2026-11-12.
2 · Probabilities
The model’s numbers
- SAL
- 44%
- fair 2.27
- Draw
- 29%
- fair 3.46
- CEL
- 27%
- fair 3.69
Expected goals 1.25 v 0.91; most likely score 1-0; form sample 0 and 5 matches (thin sample, so no confident call).
3 · Selection
The model call
Model call
Double chance: Salamanca CF UDS or Draw- Model probability
- 73%
- Confidence
- Outside the floor
- shown for the record, not a selection
- Reference price
- None
- probability-only until the odds feed
- Published
- 2026-11-12
- model v1.3.0
Every market, from the same scoreline grid
| Market | Pick | Prob. | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | Salamanca CF UDS or Draw | 73% | below the floor |
| Over 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | below the floor |
| Over under goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | below the floor |
| Under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | below the floor |
| Draw no bet | Salamanca CF UDS (draw no bet) | 62% | below the floor |
| Match result (1X2) | Salamanca CF UDS to win | 44% | below the floor |
| Both teams to score | Both Teams to Score | 43% | below the floor |
| Over 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 37% | below the floor |
| Half time full time | Draw / Salamanca CF UDS | 36% | long shot |
| Win to nil | Salamanca CF UDS to win to nil | 29% | long shot |
| Score draw | Score draw | 17% | long shot |
| Btts and win | Salamanca CF UDS to win and both teams to score | 15% | long shot |
| Correct score | 1-0 | 14% | long shot |
| Nil nil draw | 0-0 draw | 12% | long shot |
How double chance settles. A model call beside the day’s published selection, settled in public like every other number here.
18+. Gambling helplines for Nigeria, Kenya, South Africa, Ghana and Uganda are on each country’s betting guide. Probabilities are the model\u2019s own numbers, never a promise.
4 · Evidence and team news
Expected line-ups
Line-ups appear here about an hour before kick-off, as soon as the feed carries them.
5 · Market explanation
Double chance
Cover two of the three outcomes at a shorter price. Read the guide.
6 · Betting options
Where you can act on it
7 · Methodology and record
How this call was made
Model v1.3.0 · desk Wanjiru Kamau · methodology · our full record · Salamanca CF UDS v Celta de Vigo head-to-head